Packers’ star recruit revealed as most likely touchdown scorer for Thanksgiving TNF tonight

The Green Bay Packers face off against the Miami Dolphins this Thanksgiving in the traditional Thursday Night Football slot, wrapping up the day’s NFL holiday slate. This game offers plenty of excitement as the Packers look to solidify their playoff hopes, with more outlined in our detailed Packers-Dolphins prediction.
This matchup is especially notable for Josh Jacobs, the Packers’ prized offseason recruit. After signing a four-year, $48 million contract in March 2024, Jacobs has revitalized Green Bay’s rushing attack, proving to be an invaluable addition to Matt LaFleur’s offense. With 944 rushing yards and 8 total touchdowns this season, Jacobs has been a model of consistency and efficiency.
Following the Green Bay Packers’ 38-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers on November 24, 2024, Head Coach Matt LaFleur praised running back Josh Jacobs, stating, “That guy is an animal”. In that game, Jacobs rushed for 106 yards and scored three touchdowns, showcasing his significant impact on the Packers’ offense.
Now, Jacobs enters this Thanksgiving TNF showdown as the most likely anytime touchdown scorer, according to Dimers’ advanced projections. With a 50.6% probability to score, Jacobs leads all players in this holiday clash. His -175 odds with Caesars suggest that the sportsbooks are also expecting him to score, potentially making him a nice final leg to a Thanksgiving touchdown parlay.
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Dimers’ data-driven NFL analysis not only highlights Jacobs’ anytime touchdown probability (50.6%) but also places him as the frontrunner for the first touchdown scored in the game, with a 13.2% chance. Jacobs edges out Miami’s De’Von Achane, who ranks second with an 11.3% chance.
Jacobs is also projected to lead all rushers with 71 rushing yards, showcasing his pivotal role in the Packers’ offensive game plan. His ability to generate yards on the ground and contribute as a receiver ensures that Jacobs remains a focal point in this Thanksgiving TNF matchup.
While Josh Jacobs tops the charts with a 50.6% probability, several other big-name players are primed to make an impact in this Dolphins-Packers clash.
Josh Jacobs’ arrival in Green Bay has proven to be one of the most impactful offseason moves of 2024, and his stellar play has continued throughout the season. As the Packers rely heavily on their star recruit to deliver against the Dolphins, Jacobs’ ability to find the end zone could be the deciding factor in this Thanksgiving TNF battle.
Whether you’re watching as a fan or a bettor, Jacobs’ status as the most likely anytime touchdown scorer adds another layer of intrigue to this prime-time matchup. As well as the above-mentioned deal from Caesars, check out the latest offers from Bet365, FanDuel, and DraftKings to make the most of this highly anticipated holiday clash!